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Earthquakes Along Atlantic Rift

May 30, 2008

Elaine Meinel Supkis


Energy use and geology: hand in glove. The majority of geologists in college go into energy markets. The coal industry is struggling to deal with pollution from coal burning. One solution is to pump all the excess gases into the earth. I am totally against this for geological reasons. Just as the holding of any pollutants inside the earth is simply moving forwards in time the consequences of our own pollution is a bad idea. And the earth has just switched gears yet again after the huge series of powerful quakes in China have begun to fade. The Mid-atlantic rift is now having big quakes, the latest being in Iceland. And a geologist is reading a paper about earthquake clusters and how they are global after big quake events.

Mounting Costs Slow the Push for Clean Coal

For years, scientists have had a straightforward idea for taming global warming. They want to take the carbon dioxide that spews from coal-burning power plants and pump it back into the ground.
*snip*
Scientists need to figure out which kinds of rock and soil formations are best at holding carbon dioxide. They need to be sure the gas will not bubble back to the surface. They need to find optimal designs for new power plants so as to cut costs. And some complex legal questions need to be resolved, such as who would be liable if such a project polluted the groundwater or caused other damage far from the power plant.

Major corporations sense the possibility of a profitable new business, and G.E. signed a partnership on Wednesday with Schlumberger, the oil field services company, to advance the technology of carbon capture and sequestration.

But only a handful of small projects survive, and the recent cancellations mean that most of this work has come to a halt, raising doubts that the technique can be ready any time in the next few decades. And without it, “we’re not going to have much of a chance for stabilizing the climate,” said John Thompson, who oversees work on the issue for the Clean Air Task Force, an environmental group.


I am 100% against this goofy idea. The earth is far from stable. Anything that is put into the ground eventually will come back topside as the earth shifts and shoves everything around. Not to mention meteorite strikes! So if we take this gas and then pump it into the ground, it won't vanish there. It is STORED there and will reenter the planetary system if disturbed. The chances of it being disturbed over time is 100%. Not 50% but absolutely certain.


Liquids can pour out and cause problems but they have to have somewhere to flow. They tend to sit wherever gravity has placed them. Gases, on the other hand, are hard to contain. They just want to bust out and spread as far as possible from each molecule next to the other. The imperative to do this is absolute. When we artificially trap gases and compress them into anything, the smallest pin hole puncture or itty bitty leak empties the compressed gas. Only a trace will be left. Anyone who handles gasses knows this and this is why tanks have to be carefully sealed and kept very safe and not thrown about. This is why you can't fill old tanks that look OK. They have to be replaced on a regular schedule.


Nature's timeline is near infinity. Ours is about six months into the future, if that. Any system devised to bottle up the genie of gas will fail and when this fails, 50 years of coal pollution will enter the planet's systems in less than a few days or even minutes? And this will do what? HOLY COW. It is obvious what happens next! It is far, far, far worse than gases building up slowly. We can't burn 500 million years of compressed biomatter in 50 years. We just cannot do it. Thus, the need for windmills, etc.


Iceland rocked by earthquake

The 6.1 magnitude temblor struck about 3:46 p.m. (11:46 a.m. ET), according to the U.S. Geological Survey. Its epicenter was about 50 km (31 miles) east-southeast of the capital, Reykjavik, and was about 10 km (6.2 miles) below the Earth's surface.

It was unclear exactly how many people were injured or the severity of their injuries, Olli Tynes, a journalist with Reykjavik's Channel 2, told CNN.


The earth has been quieting down after the release of tension in the Chengdu region of China. That place is a basin which probably is caused by the land being squeezed between the Australian plate wrapping around southern Asia and the Eurasian plate to the north traveling eastwards. Perhaps the lithosphere in Chengdu is collapsing into the mantle. The length of the earthquake activity along the western edge of this basin makes this a real possibility. There was definite subsidence going on here.


Starting this week, the clusters of earth quakes have shifted to the opposite side of the planet. The Australian front has gone quite, relatively speaking. And the Chilean/Peru coast has seen a definite increase in earthquakes and volcanic activity. Then the Atlantic rift has been seeing a series of major earthquakes up and down the entire length. This, in turn, shoves both North and South America westards into all the plates under the Pacific Ocean.


This is increasing stresses in California/Oregon and Washington state.


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Large quakes trigger distant smaller quakes

When powerful earthquakes strike anywhere in the world, their seismic waves go rippling through the ground and trigger smaller quakes thousands of miles away where no one had ever expected them, scientists have discovered.

Geophysicists reported Sunday that they have studied records on the aftermath of 15 major quakes during the past 18 years and found evidence that they regularly caused small temblors on distant, obscure faults in 12 of those events.

But just what causes those clearly detectable smaller quakes in areas touched by seismic waves from far more powerful temblors remains an unsolved mystery, the scientists say.

Tom Parsons, a research geophysicist at the U.S. Geological Survey in Menlo Park, and his colleagues in Utah and Texas call the phenomenon dynamic triggering. They say the triggered temblors can occur even in stable ground where faults have long been inactive, as well as in volcanic ground and hot springs where the earth is always unstable.


What interests me most is the fact that the biggest quakes surrounding the basin/mountain complexes are most often at the 10 kilometer level. And the biggest quakes have a very strong likelihood of being at that level, too. The series of quakes these last four days in the Atlantic were all at that critical level, too. One wonders about this. It seems to me that there is a distinct difference in planetary materials between the 10 kilometer and the rest of the lithosphere.


Every earthquake sends many types of seismic waves coursing through the Earth - some deep within the Earth's crust and others across the surface. Two types of surface waves are known as Rayleigh and Love waves, and Pankow and Parsons focused on the impact of those.
The Rayleigh waves move the ground from side to side like a snake and cause most of the shaking in any earthquake, while Love waves move up and down as they travel, very much like waves on the ocean.
*snip*
The researchers first examined the record of Love waves during the five hours after each of the 15 major quakes they studied, and calculated where and when small quakes would have been detected as those waves passed. The number of small quakes worldwide increased by 37 percent within each five-hour period, the scientists found. And when Rayleigh waves followed the Love waves, the number of small quakes triggered worldwide shot up by 60 percent, the group reported.


I hope to read this paper in full when it comes online. Since the earth is a whole entity, it pays to study these seemingly subtle effects. For this leads to understanding the obvious, bigger forces. Since our planet is mostly molten materials in the mantle and a dense core that is very, very hot, it pays to try to understand how shifts at the top, thin solid layers affect the molten parts. And of course, the energy of these earthquakes travel across this liquid mass.


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Culture of Life News Main Page

Tonight We Visit Beautiful Alaska

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5/28/2008

Elaine Meinel Supkis


Readers of this news service are all quite interesting. One of them, Mr. G. Oppenwall, sent me some lovely pictures he took in Alaska. I thought we should share these with everyone. Alaska has one of the most amazing landscapes on earth. And the wild life is varied and fascinating. Also, I want to warn everyone in the far north this year, the volcano in Chile, even though it is in the far southern hemisphere, is evidently beginning to spread fine particulate matter and gases to the higher stratosphere and it is now across the entire planet. For I went outside tonight, while pitching rocks and working on the garden fence. And looking up at the sunset, I could see the soft veil across the heavens. The wind was blowing hard from the clean air regions of the Arctic. Normally, the sky is a deep blue, not a fine pale blue. And as the sun set, the zenith took on the classic purple/pink coloration that these skies have only when a volcano is active. This means a cool summer. So far, here it has been very cool this last two weeks and even though it is nearly June, it might freeze tonight. Cover those young veggie plants!

Now stop that ! You're not "imposing" on me. Only Impotent people impose on me. Ha ha.

In order....Mt Denali 20,400( formerly Mt McKinley, dead white guy pres.) , Kennicott Glacier in Mt St Elias NP, the old Kennicott Copper mine (for 10ys the most lucrative copper mine on earth), moose in lake near Chena Hot Springs, Mt Sanborn (16,500'), Dall Sheep in Mt St Elias NP, Hanging glaciers on side of Dragontail Peak in Alpine Lks wilderness area state of Wa, ditto next pic, High Rock fire lookout just barely outside of Mt Tahoma (Rainier) NP, near Asgard Pass in Alpine Lks,WA, Mt Denali again,crevasse in Kennicott glacier in Mt St Elias NP.

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Most of the guys I work with are overtime junkies, so to try and stimulate their sense of curiosity/adventure, I photo copied many of these pictures and have them
all over the walls of my little shop within a shop.

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We were unbelievably lucky with the Dall Sheep. I've been to Alaska several times and have only seen them as little white dots way above the trail or road. The
wind must've been blowing our scent in the opposite direction. They are very fast,shy,and skittish animals. When they finally did sense our presence they took off
for the rocks.

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We camped out at Chena Hot Springs and after having slept all afternoon at the pool (well deserved sleep as Alaska in the summer makes you manic)
decided to go for a "moose cruise" which is driving real slow looking at all the pools and swamps for moose. We saw at least 20 moose within about 2hrs.

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The Enchantment lakes pics were taken "illegally". You are supposed to pay a permit fee for a campsite and make reservations almost a yr in advance. Yeesh !!
So we "commando camped" with just bivvy sacks on some rocks hidden out of sight from possible permit checking rangers. Tough hike. 7500' elevation gain/loss.
Took 2 FULL days to complete.It snowed on us just a little bit at night as this was in early Oct only a few days away from the snow season.

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This fire lookout tower was built by hauling the lumber 3 miles up a steep trail, and then another 500 yds up a steep rocky slope by backpack/human labor

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Jack Kerouc of "On the Road" fame spent a summer here, and several other lookouts near Mt Rainier, for a summer job for the forest service back in the days before satellite technology eliminated the need for a lookout job.
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We escaped a sudden storm in one of these towers once and I'm pretty sure we got blasted by lighting once or twice. Thank god these things have lighning rods.
Maybe we should've taken you with, nyuk nyuk !

Ha, my friend Tim Cassidy ( hails from Las Vegas NM and his family traces back to THAT Cassidy of historical fame) just brought me over a tractor cap that says
"National Security Agency" Yeee Haaa !!! I'll wear it all day today in the shop. Evidently his sister knows somebody that knows somebody. Kinda like our mutual fiend, JB who my sis says now works for "Synthesis Solutions" a private Blackwater type Sump in the Deee Ceee area. Yeeesh

see you...........G.

ps, that shot of a wolf was the luckiest pic of my life. Took it on the tundra about 30mi from the Arctic Ocean, he looks like an old guy with gray muzzle. I know people
that have lived in Ak most of their lives and they never see wolves except maybe way off in the distance. My camera only goes up to 200mm zoom


Understanding the Complex History Of China's Geology

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May 13, 2008

Elaine Meinel Supkis


The death toll from the 7.9 earthquake in China grows greater. Heroic efforts by the Chinese military and others, trying desperately to dig out the unfortunate people trapped in the rubble continues. As usual, regulating the building earthquake-proof structures is a very important government function. The many tragedies we see in earthquakes are due to improper or weak architecture. Modern cities must heed the lessons of other cities' woes! The school that collapsed in China is a classic example: it should have never happened. Also, we look yet again at the Himalayan mountain region and the geology of central China and why this is so unstable. Geologists are still trying to figure out how the earth's different elements intersect and interact there.


Search for China quake survivors

A massive search and rescue operation is under way in south-western China after one of the most powerful earthquakes in decades. Troops have arrived in Wenchuan county at the epicentre, which was largely cut off by the quake - but heavy rain is hampering rescue operations.

Elsewhere in Sichuan province, frantic efforts are being made to reach thousands of people under the rubble.
The death toll is now more than 12,000, officials say, and looks set to rise.


It is quite moving to see the frantic efforts of the military as they burrow deeper and deeper into the school to dig out the children. Some of the children are still alive. The soldiers are bringing in IV fluid to attach to survivors who are in shock as well as dangerously dehydrated from the cement dust in the ruins. These efforts are in strong contrast to the horrors of the poor, suffering people of Burma. There, the madcap military dictator refuses to give even slight aid. Maliciously leaving the people to fend for themselves, already over 30,000 have died. By the way, all of this is a reminder as to why we have a central government and why it has to exist to protect the people from earthquakes, volcanos, tsunamis, etc. Our own government has sent much of our own military to Iraq rather than have them here to protect us. When the inevitable earthquake wrecks a good part of California, there will be no soldiers to come pouring in within the first 6 hours to dig out survivors or bring aid.


This is a warning to all Americans to cease sleepwalking in the Iraq war! If we continue this way, we will pay in precious lives at home. If our rulers want wars, they can raise troops some other way. Not send all our National Guard far away.


I have written extensively in the past about the Tibet/China clash of continental land masses. India, which is part of the Austro-Indian plate, has moved northwards very rapidly and slammed into Eurasia, causing the greatest mountain building on earth. This week's massive earthquake is related to this business. Surrounding this tremendous mountain building is some of the queerest geology on earth. When we look at this part of the planet using different tools, we see clearly, something is not right. The thinnest crust is right next door to the thickest crust on earth. And the dynamics of the lithosphere is very strange here, probably due to the rapid movement of the India half of the large plate which has not one but two continental masses. Here is an earlier story I wrote about all this:


Geologists Contradict Each Other About Tibetan Plateau

One thing about wanting pet theories to work is to look at one or another aspect. Then the puzzle seems to 'fit'. But always, when arranging a theory, one has to look at all possible similar situations and see if they match in any way. The fact of this matter is, definitely something is at work with the Tibetan plateau, the fact that the center of the Tibetan highlands is an awful lot like so many other centers of massive mountainbuilding/continental collisions means there is something rather common about all these situations. Namely, they are all operating on the same principles.

I used a box of Jiffy mix yellow cake and baked it at 400 degrees. Then I let it cool rapidly and it collapsed very neatly. A fun experiment if you don't mind a cake raw in the center and over-baked on the edges.

In this case, I would suggest that when plates, both oceanic and continental, collide and one begins to climb over the other, it is like baking a cake, literally, since this friction and compression 'cooks' everything, the whole beings to rise until a critical point is reached and then the center collapses, leaving a classic ring of mountains around a depressed center.

Perhaps the mantle, after a lot of landmass piles up on top of it and it is compressed more and more, a section in the center breaks off and begins to sink. As this slips lower, the mountains around the developing sinkhole rise, sort of like if you press down on a pillow, the edges rise.

Here is the Independent UK article I was referring to:

By Paul Rodgers
Published: 18 February 2007

The discovery of the missing mantle - the cold, heavy rock beneath the crust - was revealed last week by Professor Wang-Ping Chen at the University of Illinois, whose team used more than 200 super-sensitive seismometers strung across the Himalayas, from India deep into Tibet.

"While attached, this immense piece of mantle under Tibet acted as an anchor, holding the land above in place," said Professor Chen, whose results are to be published in the Journal of Geophysical Research. "Then, about 15 million years ago, the chain broke and the land rose."

By pushing the Himalayas to their current altitude, more than 8,000m above sea level, and raising the Tibetan plateau to 5,000m, the detachment of the block was responsible for both the monsoon rains that make south Asia so fertile and the Gobi desert in central Asia. Warm winds blowing from the Pacific Ocean cool as they rise over the mountains, releasing the moisture they contain as torrential rains, leaving almost no water to fall on the arid interior of the continent.


Nearly all of the great quakes are at the 10 kilometer level. As we see here with this latest example:

IRIS map:
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Another interesting aspect of this latest quake in China is how far it was felt: 1,000 miles! The entire eastern half of the nation felt it. A year ago, I found some great gravity field maps of the earth while doing a story about meteorite strikes on the moon.


Here is the NASA earth gravity map:


Gravity_map_earth

The gravity field right below India is by far and away, the lightest on earth. But the densest is where the rest of the Australian-India plate is being subducted under the Asian plate: the most geologically active area on earth, the Sumatran chain. The densest place on earth is not the Himalayan mountains nor the Rocky mountains. It is actually the front edge of this very fast moving plate. This same plate is also moving much faster than all the other plates on earth at this time. The speed is many multiples faster than the rest of the continents. Geologists still don't know why this is. But obviously, there is a great disturbance in the planetary lithosphere connected to this particular plate! The other place with a high gravity value is, oddly enough, the north Atlantic Ocean.

Austroindia_plate_deforms_asia

I drew in some lines showing the outer edges of the Australian plate which clearly shows how it is wrapping around the Asian plate. Both India and Australia ride along their plate while the middle section between them is being stretched and warped as it folds around Asia. India, on the other hand, is crashing into Asia and shoving it rapidly upwards. Is this plate being stretched to a great degree by all this? Is this why the weakest gravity spot is right next door to the Sumatran subduction zone?


All of this is very connected with the geology of China. China is being squeezed like in a vise by the Australian-Indian plate. For the last 2 months, the Sumatran subduction zone which has been tremendously active since the Great Boxing Day Quake, one of the biggest quakes in 100 years. Japan just had a serious quake just offshore last week. Now, this latest big quake in China. And the US West coast is still having quakes along the Juan de Fucas and the San Andreas system, far more than in the last 5 years. Perhaps the energy released from the Great Boxing Day Quake has worked like a spring to pop the Australian half of the plate northwards yet again, shoving the Pacific Plate ever harder against both the Asian subduction zone off of Japan as well as the North American Plate?

National Geographic map:

Earthquakes_china_may_2008


In Asia, behind the leading edge of the fast moving Australian-Indian Plate, we see some interesting features. Nearly always, when plates collide like this, we get volcanos and huge uplift mountains. Several things here: the leading edge of India is not producing volcanos. It is causing only uplifts. Nor are there any volcanos in Burma and Thailand, for example. Only further to the south, in Sumatra, are there volcanos and these are some of the nastiest ones on earth. I also highlighted two interesting features in China, both of which are important in today's story about the earthquakes: the Xinjiang depression and the Chengdu depression. These are behind the Himalayan mountains. Actually, there are other, similar depressions. All over the planet, active geological areas where there is rapid mountain building, we see these odd depressions. All active mountain regions have 'long valleys' associated with them that often lie between costal mountains next to subduction zones and more distant mountains due to uplift.


Geologic framework and tectonic evolution of the Qinling orogen, central China

Qing-Ren Meng and Guo-Wei Zhang

Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China

The geologic framework of the Qinling orogen was built up through interplay of three blocks, the North China block (including the North Qinling), the South Qinling, and the South China block, separated by the Shangdan and Mianlue sutures. The Shangdan suture resulted from Middle Paleozoic collision of the North China block and the South Qinling. The Mianlue suture resulted from Late Triassic collision of the South Qinling and the South China block. Present upper crust of the Qinling is structured dominantly by thrust–fold systems. The North Qinling displays thick-skinned deformation with crystalline basement involved, whilst the South Qinling is characterized by thin-skinned thrusts and folds detached above the Lower Sinian. Two types of Precambrian basement, crystalline and transitional, are defined according to lithology and metamorphic grade and different in age. Stratigraphic and sedimentary architecture is characterized by distinct zonation.

The Qinling orogen experienced a prolonged continental divergence and convergence between blocks. During the period from Late Neoproterozoic to Early Paleozoic times, the South Qinling was the northern margin of the South China block, and the North Qinling was the southern margin of the North China block, separated by a Proto-Tethyan Qinling Ocean. The North Qinling evolved into an active margin when the Proto-Tethyan Qinling Ocean subducted northward during Ordovician time. Collision of the South and North Qinling took place in Middle Paleozoic along the Shangdan suture. Synchronous with the collision, rifting occurred at the southern rim of the South Qinling and was followed by the opening of the Paleo-Tethyan Qinling Ocean during the Late Paleozoic, resulting in the splitting of the South China block from the South Qinling. Collision of the South Qinling and the South China block came about in the Late Triassic along the Mianlue suture. The Late Triassic collisional orogeny caused extensive fold-and-thrust deformation and granitoid intrusions throughout the Qinling, and led to final amalgamation of the North and South China blocks.


In other words, China is actually two major continental masses that have been alternately squeezed and then depressions widened, most likely due to the sudden collapse of the lithosphere. The resulting ocean was then eliminated due to the nutcracker effect of the break up of the Antarctic-Australian-Indian plate, most likely due to the Permian meteorite strike that may have eliminated most life forms in the greatest extinction on earth. This is probably why, outside of the depressions of Xinjiang, Chengdu and Mongolia, China has virtually no flat plains like India, Russia, the US, central Africa, Brazil, etc.


TECTONIC EVOLUTION OF EASTERN CHINA

Several orogenic belts transecting eastern China are the sites of former convergent plate margins, although there have been varying views on the collisional framework of individual continental blocks, styles of convergence at these zones, and the timing of respective collisions. A tectonic study of eastern China, Mongolia and the southern Soviet Far East indicates the collision of the South China Block with a combined North China-Northeast China Fold Zone Block in the Late Triassic-Early Jurassic, their collective suturing to Eurasia in the Late Jurassic-Early Cretaceous, followed by the Sikhote Alin-Japan Block in the Mid to Late Cretaceous.

The evidence is as follows: (1) A linear belt of Late Triassic-Early Cretaceous granites and granodiorites trends east from the Qinlingshan through the Dabieshan to the Huaiyang massif. Ophiolites, flysch, subduction zone melange, a paired metamorphic belt indicating north dipping subduction and marine strata of Carboniferous to Late Triassic age from the Qinlingshan define the suture between the North and South China Blocks,

(2) A sinuous belt of ultramafics, blueschists, silicic to intermediate magmatism and west and north vergent folds and thrusts trend from the west margin of the Ordos Basin through central Inner Mongolia and along the east Great Khingan Range to the Amur River. Coupled with a Mid Jurassic-Early Creataceous unconformity a suturing of eastern Chinese blocks to Eurasia along this zone is suggested,

(3) A fold and thrust belt with ultramafics, flysch, blueschists and subduction zone melange along the Ussuri River in northeast China indicates the suturing of the Sikhote Alin-Japan Block to Eurasia along a west dipping subduction zone in the Mid to Late Cretaceous. Similarly, a tectonic study of southern China and Southeast Asia has revealed a complex regional mosaic of suture-bounded terrains which nucleated about the eastern, western and southern margins of the Yangtze Craton during the Late Triassic and Early Jurassic. The evidence is as follows:

(4) A north–south trending belt of ophiolites, blueschists, calc-alkaline volcanics and subduction zone melange, including granites, granodiorites arid strongly deformed marine strata all of Late Triassic age exposed in the Longmenshan of Sichuan merge with the Kekexilishan ophiolite zone Into the Ailaoshan-Tengtiaohe ophiolite and blueschist belt in central Yunnan along which the Songban-Ganzi Complex and the Shan-Thai-Malaya Block join the Craton, and

(5) A southeastern prolongation of the Ailaoshan-Tengtiaohe belt bifurcates into the southeast trending Konvoi zone of northern Vietnam and the north–south trending Pak Lay-Luang Prabang zone of Laos and eastern Thailand. Zones of ophiolite, calc-alkaline volcanics and strong Late Triassic deformation, they separate the Indosinia and Shan-Thai-Malaya Blocks from the Craton respectively. These findings differ significantly from previous interpretations of a Late Paleozoic consolidation of South–Eastern Asia as well as disputing the existence of a true Pangea.


The dispute about the inner workings of this region continue and shall continue as geologists unearth greater details of this strange region. I still think the biggest mystery is why the Australian-Indian Plate is moving so fast in the first place. India definitely has been greatly slowed down ever since plowing into Asia but Australia is still moving at a tremendously fast geological rate and by far, the most earthquakes on earth are along the leading edge of Australia. The fact that Australia itself is so geologically silent while creating the greatest havoc on earth is also a big puzzle. Eventually, all of Southeast Asia will be folded into China and perhaps Japan will be crushed between Australia and Russia a few million years from now.


A New Look into the Center of the Earth

The inner reaches of the Earth remain shrouded in mystery. Even the surface of Mars has been explored more extensively. Because deep drilling comes to a halt after a maximum of 12 kilometers, the remaining 6,300 kilometers to the center of the Earth remain inaccessible.
*snip*
“Old, cold plates are pushed down into the Earth’s mantle on the continental edges,” he explains. “At this point they collect large amounts of iron. You can imagine it as something similar to water condensation.” Weighted down by the iron, the plates sink farther and farther into the hot, molten rock until they reach the inner sanctum of the Earth’s mantle. There, at a depth of 2,900 kilometers, they finally halt their decent and settle into “plate graveyards.” This is presumably the outer edge of the earth’s heavy core, where the temperature is 4,000 degrees Celsius (7,200 degrees Fahrenheit).

Brimming with enthusiasm, Maruyama continues: “But the capsized continents don’t simply rest in their plate graveyards forever.” Rather, they are about to experience a sudden resurrection. Heat and pressure in the depths trigger chemical processes, causing the plates to deposit their load of heavy elements. Once liberated of this burden, they become lighter than their surroundings, causing them to rise like corks in water. The result: Above the old plate graves, on the floor of the Earth’s molten mantle, a mushroom-shaped upwelling of abnormally hot magma called a mantle plume makes its way toward the surface.

Eventually, the rising flow of molten rock reaches the crystallized crust and cuts through it like a welding torch. Volcanoes form, such as those on the Big Island of Hawaii. Maruyama says the red hot lava that erupts on the volcanic island comes directly from an old plate cemetery 2,900 kilometers below the surface, where the remains of an ancient continent that broke up some 750 million years ago simmer to the surface. His theory postulates the amazing comeback story of this ancient rock from the deep.


All this surface chaos is causing parts of the lithosphere to detach and collapse. The latest major earthquake is in such a battle ground: on the edge of a nearly circular spot where there is surrounding mountains and a depression.


From an earlier story at my site about volcanic hot spots and the gravity maps:

The movement of India is most astonishing: unlike most other plates, when the India subcontinent calved off of the Antarctic landmass, it took off like a bullet and shot north, hitting Asia which is moving eastwards in a long, slow arc, slamming into the belly of that great landmass with such forward force, it has raised the tallest mountains on earth which are still rising for this sector hasn't exhausted its momentum yet.
*snip*
What lurked under the joining of India, Africa and Antarctica? That center point where everything broke apart? Why is the deepest low gravity point associated with the Indian Ocean Plate and India itself INCLUDING TIBET?

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From an earlier article about the lithosphere:

The question is, why are the two largest land masses on the northern hemisphere moving in a turning motion, towards one spot in the Pacific? We know they are being pushed but why in that particular direction? There is nothing at the North Pole that could be pushing them, is there? Antarctica is nearly totally stationary. Perhaps this is due to the heavy load of ice sitting on top. The earth isn't round and we have a moon that has enough gravitational pull to yank the huge oceans into high and low tides that are quite obvious on the ground.

We also have a widening Atlantic Ocean that is smaller than the Pacific. The weight of the oceans, the thinness of the ocean floors, the lithosphere, all these things affect the movement of the plates.

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Here is a map of the earth I drew last year showing the general movement of the earth's plates. Note how the pressure directions for Asia are all towards the Pacific. And the leading edge of India is not due north but actually aimed straight at the region where yesterday's earthquake occurred.

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This map I drew shows how all the plates except for South America are being dragged relentlessly towards one spot in the Pacific Ocean just offshore of Japan, around the Micronesian Islands. Maybe this is where the New Pangea will arise?


Perhaps the base of Australia (and India) were detached from the lithosphere allowing them to flow with minimal friction? One can only guess. What we do know is, the leading edge of Australia is causing mountain building via volcanoes. But the buckling of the continent's leading edge is minor compared to the leading edge of North America that is violently buckling under the stress of trying to crash over the Pacific Plate, indeed, it is probably shoving that plate westards at a good clip, considering. Except this doesn't explain much of anything!

Why is the Pacific Plate moving so swiftly into Asia? It hits Asia and slides under with great violence. We know that Eurasia is moving towards the Pacific thanks to the Atlantic rifting. But why is it cartwheeling to this one point in the ocean that happens to be the same spot Australia is determined to head into? If I were looking at this as a dynamic system on a flat surface, I would suspect there is some magnetic force at work, if this were concave, I would suspec that is the lowest point.

But this is a globe and there is no singular reason for all the northern landmasses to move towards that spot. Heh. Maybe I should call it 'The Great Attractor' in honor of that mega-complex of galaxies that our own is heading towards at break neck speed!


And this week's news reminds us of the curious business concerning the 10 kilometer level. Why is this a very favorite level for mega-earthquakes?


The Lithosphere Has Collapsed In Huge Areas

One of the things that always intrigues me is the number of earthquakes at the 10km level. Many 8 to 9 mag earthquakes like the terrible Boxing Day Tsunami event, are at that depth. Click on the chart here to enlarge it. This is from 3/3/2007, a normal day with a long list of earthquakes. Nearly half of them are at the 10 km depth.

Up until recently, we were taught that the lithosphere was the same all over except where it was being subducted under a continent, for example. Also, theories about tectonic plate movements suggested that the continents were basically unchanging except at the outer edges where they would bump into each other or join together like India crashing into Asia. But as scientists probe this planet's innermost structures, a totally different picture is now emerging, one that is very disturbing.

The continents are actually quite prone to falling apart because the base upon which they rest can suddenly collapse.

The discovery that a segment of the ocean floor, not just the lithosphere but the whole thing, fell away suddenly into the depths of the mantle, is an eye-opener indeed. This event happened where the earth's plates are moving apart but I suspect this is the wrong imagery. Perhaps the better idea is to think of the split that runs the entire planet from the Artic to the Antarctic plate is a serious crack in the earth.

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These are two charts I drew up last year, while wondering about how the lithosphere operates.


Surface Deformation and Lower Crustal Flow in Eastern Tibet

Field observations and satellite geodesy indicate that little crustal shortening has occurred along the central to southern margin of the eastern Tibetan plateau since about 4 million years ago. Instead, central eastern Tibet has been nearly stationary relative to southeastern China, southeastern Tibet has rotated clockwise without major crustal shortening, and the crust along portions of the eastern plateau margin has been extended. Modeling suggests that these phenomena are the result of continental convergence where the lower crust is so weak that upper crustal deformation is decoupled from the motion of the underlying mantle. This model also predicts east-west extension on the high plateau without convective removal of Tibetan lithosphere and without eastward movement of the crust east of the plateau.


So, on top of literally everything, part of Tibet is actually being rotated in place while everything around this section is moving in one direction, northwards, due to India? If India was just a single continent mashing itself into Asia, we wouldn't see all these peculiar geological situations in China, would we? I would surmise that all these peculiar conditions are due to the entire Australian-Indian Plate riding up over Asia as India is doing while the other half is being subducted under Asia here the Australian-India Plate is very weak and underwater? So this is stretching both the Australian-Indian Plate as well as twisting and turning the Asian Plate where it is the weakest...namely, in the regions where east and west China were mashed together by this same Australian-Indian Plate movements?

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Dirty Volcanic Eruption In Chile Can Change Climate

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May 7, 2008

Elaine Meinel Supkis


A mid-sized volcano in Chile is having a major-sized volcanic event. If it blows off its crown, it can change global weather. It all depends on volume, power of the explosive forces breaking out into the stratosphere and the mass of ejected particulate matter and aerosol gases. We have had several 'cooling off' periods caused by volcanos during my lifetime. And in history, volcanic activity has pushed forwards evolution and has caused mini-ice ages as well as starvation and privations. Indeed, some huge volcanic eruptions have nearly killed off all homo sapiens in Africa long ago. Only about 2,000 humans survived the effects of a major volcano in Sumatra blowing up. Volcanos are the engines of evolution just as meteorites can alter the course of nature.


Chile eruption spurs evacuations

Chaiten volcano in the southern Patagonia region began erupting on Friday for the first time in 450 years.

Ash from the volcano has caused disruption in neighbouring Argentina. Sitting on the edge of the South American and Nazca tectonic plates, Chile is in one of the most volcanically-active regions on Earth. Experts say about 20 of its more than 100 active volcanoes are in danger of erupting at any time.
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"Today the volcano is erupting with pyroclastic material [of hot ash and gas] on a different scale," he told Reuters news agency.

"We... have ordered the immediate precautionary evacuation of all civilians, military and press in Chaiten."
A government vulcanologist warned there could be a big eruption at any time.

"There could be a major explosion that could collapse the volcano's cone," said Luis Lara of the National Geologic and Mining Service.

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Here is the You Tube video of this event:


Notice how wide the volcanic eruption is at its base. This is no narrow hiccup by a volcano releasing pressure. It is wide and deep. The resulting cloud of gases and volcanic dust is very intense. There is no lava or fireworks. This is dark, dark material pouring out. Volcanos that are 'dirty' like this are the ones that have the biggest impact on the weather and thus, on all living things. If a volcano also blows up and this one certainly has the capacity to do this, then the world's temperatures can fall significantly.


Click here for the CNN photos at sunset.

Here are the IRIS maps showing the series of 4+mag earthquakes where the volcano is erupting.

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This volcanic event is close to Antarctica and far from the Northern Hemisphere. I checked the weather maps and during this time of year, the prevailing winds are eastwards. This is causing problems for Argentina as the volcano's dust is falling thickly there.


Here is the map of all the many volcanos on the 'leading edge' of South America.

Large red triangles show volcanoes with known or inferred Holocene eruptions; small red triangles mark volcanoes with possible, but uncertain Holocene eruptions or Pleistocene volcanoes with major thermal activity. Yellow triangles distinguish volcanoes of other regions.

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When I first bought our little slice of the mountain here in Berlin, it was a splendid year, 1990. The fall was so warm, we joked about global warming turning the place into Virginia weather, not the harsher Northeastern weather. It was so warm, when we staked out the perimeters of the house we planned to build, we had absolutely no fear of the following winter. And we did quite well during it. We had less than 3 feet of snow altogether. And it became warm by the end of March. So I looked forwards to an easy summer, doing serious foundation and basement work on the house.


Then, we saw the news on TV: Mt. Pinatubo blew its stack on the other side of the planet. I ran outside to see if there was the characteristic very high, very white sheet of volcanic dust and there it was! The normally very blue sky was wane and pale. 'The weather is going to change for the worse,' I warned my husband. The sun seemed to dim slightly. We were using solar energy and we could see on the computer's screen the output was dropping.


'This is going to be a problem if the volcano keeps up,' I said. I was worried and decided to get some more kerosene lanterns for fear that we would have reduced solar energy.


Mount Pinatubo Eruption

The Volcanic Mount Pinatubo Eruption of 1991 that Cooled the Planet

Aug 5 2007
In June 1991, the second largest volcanic eruption of the twentieth century* took place on the island of Luzon in the Philippines, a mere 90 kilometers (55 miles) northwest of the capital city Manila. Up to 800 people were killed and 100,000 became homeless following the Mount Pinatubo eruption, which climaxed with nine hours of eruption on June 15, 1991. On June 15, millions of tons of sulfur dioxide were discharged into the atmosphere, resulting in a decrease in the temperature worldwide over the next few years.
*snip*
In addition to the ash, Mount Pinatubo ejected between 15 and 30 million tons of sulfur dioxide gas. Sulfur dioxide in the atmosphere mixes with water and oxygen in the atmosphere to become sulfuric acid, which in turn triggers ozone depletion. Over 90% of the material released from the volcano was ejected during the nine hour eruption of June 15.

The eruption plume of Mount Pinatubo's various gases and ash reached high into the atmosphere within two hours of the eruption, attaining an altitude of 34 km (21 miles) high and over 400 km (250 miles) wide. This eruption was the largest disturbance of the stratosphere since the eruption of Krakatau in 1883 (but ten times larger than Mount St. Helens in 1980). The aerosol cloud spread around the earth in two weeks and covered the planet within a year. During 1992 and 1993, the Ozone hole over Antarctica reached an unprecedented size.

The cloud over the earth reduced global temperatures. In 1992 and 1993, the average temperature in the Northern Hemisphere was reduced 0.5 to 0.6°C and the entire planet was cooled 0.4 to 0.5°C. The maximum reduction in global temperature occurred in August 1992 with a reduction of 0.73°C. The eruption is believed to have influenced such events as 1993 floods along the Mississippi river and the drought in the Sahel region of Africa. The United States experienced its third coldest and third wettest summer in 77 years during 1992.

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Note how the pictures of Mt. Pinatubo look an awful lot like the eruption in Chile today. This is not a good thing to see. I was trained in childhood to look for the effects of volcanic eruptions. My grandfather saw the effects of Krakatoa in the 19th century and described to us the strange light effects this caused. When Mt. Agung in Sumatra blew its stack in 1963, we were driving from the McDonald Observatory in Texas to Kitt Peak in Tucson. Suddenly, the western sunset flared into brilliant reds and golds. My mother yelled, 'A volcano has blown up!' And my dad stopped the car and set up instruments and camera and spend the rest of the evening, studying it. They eventually wrote a book about this.


We noted that every time a volcano blew up from 1963 to 1976, it got really cold and wet, lots and lots of rain even in Tucson. One volcanic year, the rivers flooded and the desert was all green. We had to walk on boards to get to and from the buses because of the mud! We missed school because the Tanque Verde river overran the bridge, cutting off our ranch from the city.


Back to 1991: A hot June turned swiftly to freezing cold. We have a video of my son and I running around in our winter coats in the freezing cold! Danny and I began to frantically build our winter supply of wood. We were fearful. By October, we had a huge pile of wood. Only the freezing rain made it into a solid mess. We took axes to it and couldn't break it apart! It began to snow in ernest before Halloween.


'Oh my god, we are going to die!' I thought. So I strengthened the tent's roof and began to hoard food. But by November, we needed Duke, our sled dog, to haul up load after load of canned goods and bags of flour, etc. The snow got deeper and deeper. Eventually, we were in an igloo buried in the snow. We would hitch up the dog to his sled and go into the woods and fell trees since our woodpile was buried.


We survived. The howling storms were frightful. One storm, we had to brace the windows which bulged and almost blew out. When the deep snow melted, we marveled at the tree stumps left behind when we foraged for wood...they were over 4 feet tall! And Chris and I lay on the snow to cut as low as possible!


The following year was difficult, too. This time, due to the cold winter in China, the loess red dust caused huge dust storms that turned the sky over us, when the wind blew hard from the west to the east, a brilliant copper color. This dimmed the sun so we had a second very cold winter plus the snow was pink sometimes! By then, we had Sparky, our Alpine horse. He loved the very deep snow and couldn't wait to go tearing around with his sled in it. So we had a much easier time with him drawing up the mountain, all our supplies, giving Duke a break.


From my parent's book about volcanos and sunsets:

When partially blocked by trees or clouds, light from the setting sun breaks into unique beams called crepuscular rays that resemble the unusual sunsets produced by volcanic eruptions. Light from crepuscular rays scatters off gases in the atmosphere much as sunlight deflects off volcanic aerosols.


Huge volcanic eruptions cool earth, counter global warming

Pinatubo’s eruption triggered high-speed avalanches of hot ash and gas, huge mud flows that displaced about 20,000 indigenous Aeta highlanders and 200,000 people in the surrounding lowlands.

Volcanic gases, according to Solidum, could also deplete the ozone, humanity’s protection from sun’s radiation.

Pinatubo eruption, for example, resulted in 15 to 25 percent ozone loss at high altitude, ozone depletion in the tropics, and highly elevated levels of acting chlorines in polar regions, Solidum said, quoting a report by the Volcanism and Climate Change American Geophysical Union.

Generally, carbon dioxide generated by volcanic eruptions enhances global warming. But the estimated 110 million tons of carbon emitted by erupting volcanoes into the atmosphere a year were much less than the 10 billion tons of carbon produced annually by human activity, Solidum said.

Not all eruptions affect the climate; only big eruptions like Pinatubo’s puncture the stratosphere, according to Solidum.


We shall see if this volcanic event is on the scale of these giant eruptions. I really don't want that, right now we have an artificial famine caused by commodity speculators, the Hubbert Oil Peak oil problems and biofuel use that diverts food from humans to cars. But if we have a global volcanic 'winter' this can turn into a catastrophe. This has happened before!


The massive eruption of Mount Tambora in Sumatra caused 'A year with no summer' here in the Northeast.

The unusual climatic aberrations of 1816 had the greatest effect on the American northeast, New England, the Canadian Maritimes, Newfoundland, and northern Europe. Typically, the late spring and summer of the northeastern U.S. are relatively stable: temperatures (average of both day and night) average about 68–77 °F (20–25 °C), and rarely fall below 41 °F (5 °C). Summer snow is an extreme rarity, though May flurries sometimes occur.
In May 1816,[4] however, frost killed off most of the crops that had been planted, and in June two large snowstorms in eastern Canada and New England resulted in many human deaths. Nearly a foot of snow was observed in Quebec City in early June, with consequent additional loss of crops—most summer growing plants have cell walls which rupture in a mild frost, let alone a snowstorm coating the soils. The result was widespread localized famines, and further deaths from those who, in a hunger-weakened state, then suffered disease as well in their less resistant condition.

In July and August, lake and river ice were observed as far south as Pennsylvania. Rapid, dramatic temperature swings were common, with temperatures sometimes reverting from normal or above-normal summer temperatures as high as 95 °F (35 °C) to near-freezing within hours. Even though farmers south of New England did succeed in bringing some crops to maturity, maize and other grain prices rose dramatically. Oats, for example, rose from 12¢ a bushel the previous year to 92¢ a bushel—nearly eight times as much—and oats are a necessary staple for an economy dependent upon horses for primary transportation. Those areas suffering local crop failures then had to deal with the lack of roads in the early 19th century, preventing any easy importation of bulky food stuffs.


When we were trying to survive in our tent complex during that very cold two years, we read a lot of books about the 'Year with no summer.' Needless to say, work on the house went very, very slowly. The extreme foul weather is not good for digging and laying bricks or pouring cement! By the time the weather became cooperative, my husband was poisoned at work when the museum cut off his oxygen supply while he was working with chemicals.


So I ended up nursing my husband while living in a tent while trying to build a house. We succeeded which goes to show, determination and sweat can win out over great odds. Now, I am prepared for a possible bad winter! But this is the opposite side of global warming: we are always just one volcano away from a bout of Ice Age fun.


Vog — volcanic smog — casts haze over Hawaii
Crops, humans suffering from exposure to toxic gas

Big Island crops are shriveling as sulfur dioxide from Kilauea wafts over them and envelops them in "vog," or volcanic smog. People are wheezing, and schoolchildren are being kept indoors during recess. High gas levels led Hawaii Volcanoes National Park to close several days this month, forcing the evacuation of thousands of visitors.

Residents of this volcanic island are used to toxic gas. But this haze is so bad that farmers are thinking about growing different crops, and many people are worrying about their health.


This is exactly the sort of eruption that killed off half of the people of Iceland in the 18th century and possibly triggered food riots in France and Germany and caused, supposedly, the Queen of France to utter those immortal, fatal words, 'Then let them eat cake.'


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Geologists Warn San Andreas 99% Chance Big Quake Next 35 Years

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May 1, 2008

Elaine Meinel Supkis


Two more earthquakes greater than 4 mag hit the lower end of the Californian San Andreas region. So we have had a good number of medium-hard shakes at both the top and the bottom of the San Andreas. The number of micro quakes has also grown much greater lately. Of course, the many millions of people in California living on top of this very restless earth are not supposed to be alarmed. My family has lived out there since the Gold Rush. We know these dangers and know that we must pay heed to them. Time to review earthquake preparations. Even the cautious geologists fearful of losing jobs are sounding a timid alarm.


California '99 percent' certain to have major quake by 2038: scientists

A powerful earthquake capable of causing widespread destruction is 99 percent certain of hitting California within the next 30 years, scientists said Monday.

A new model devised to determine the probability of major earthquakes has found that the chances of a 6.7 magnitude earthquake not hitting California by 2038 was one percent, the US Geological Survey said.
The chances of a monster quake, measuring 7.5 or greater, were predicted at 46 percent over the same projected period, with densely populated southern California most likely to be affected.

The predictions were the result of a new system that combines information from seismology, earthquake geology, and precise measurements from the earth's surface, allowing the probabilities of a major earthquake to be forecast.
*snip*
The group found that two of California's largest cities -- Los Angeles and San Francisco -- were more than 63 percent likely to face a 6.7 quake.

A 6.7 earthquake in Los Angeles in 1994 left 60 people dead and did an estimated 10 billion dollars damage, while a 6.9 quake in San Francisco in 1989 claimed the lives of 67 people.

Geologists say one of the biggest areas of concern in California is the southern section of the San Andreas fault in Riverside County, east of Los Angeles, which is described as being "10 months pregnant."
*snip*
Geologists say the fault erupts with a large earthquake ever 150 years or so, but has not relieved tension in 300 years.


First off, there is a 100% chance of a 7+ earthquake. Hell's bells! These happen like clockwork! But the 9 mag deals: they are rare. They happen when a fault can't move for many years. There is a sector of the San Andreas that moved last when my great-great grandaddy crossed it. On horseback, of course. This newspaper article even mentions this sector! But don't show detailed maps, etc. Which is a shame. Many people and many water/transportation systems cross this sector and will see a probable sudden jump sideways of more than 45 feet in less than one second.

Click here for the official IRIS site maps:
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This map shows clearly how quakes have moved from a heavy dose of shaking at the important Juan de Fuca plate and now, at the bottom of California where the San Andreas plunges into the Gulf of California. Nearly all of last year, there were no quakes above 4 mag in this sector of the planet. Sumatra was very active. Now, Sumatra is very inactive. All the action is along the leading edge of the Australian part of the Indian/Australian plate, the part pushing the entire Pacific plate into the Juan de Fuca plate and the westward moving North American continent. This three way mighty clash is a big geological force creating earthquakes, tsunami and volcanos. Along with Japan, Sumatra and New Zealand, California is one of the most geologically active areas on earth.


When populations are fairly low and people live in palm frond huts, earthquakes are no great matter. Tsunamis are terrible and few structures can withstand them and they sweep away all humans in their path. And volcanos: nothing can stop a volcano. One can only run like hell. Truly, volcanos are tools of the gods as our ancestors believed.


Here is the last week's worth of quakes in California and Nevada. It is very, very long this time, very long compared to the last several years.


Now, the section of the San Andreas the geologists mention in this short news story is not hard to find. Along one side of this fault rise the highest coastal mountains. In particular, this section has the highest of them all! These mountains aren't accidental. They are the result of violent earthquakes along here. My grandfather worked on and at the great observatories built on these mountains like Mt. Palomar and Mt. Wilson. I used to play there as a child. The mountains are so new, the sides are very, very steep. These aren't like the mountain I live on here in New York which is very rounded and fairly low, brought down by millions of years of erosion and glaciers. These mountains in California are very much teenagers and growing in spurts. Like teenagers, moody and prone to violence.


Let's look at the official 'probability maps from the geological survey: 24-Hour Aftershock Forecast Map

What Are Aftershocks, Foreshocks and Earthquake Clusters?

Aftershock Facts: In a cluster, the earthquake with the largest magnitude is called the main shock; anything before it is a foreshock and anything after it is an aftershock. A main shock will be redefined as a foreshock if a subsequent event has a larger magnitude. The rate of main shocks after foreshocks follows the same patterns as aftershocks after main shocks. Aftershock sequences follow predictable patterns as a group, although the individual earthquakes are random and unpredictable. This pattern tells us that aftershocks decay with increasing time, increasing distance, and increasing magnitude. It is this average pattern that this system uses to make real-time predictions about the probability of ground shaking.


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Between Parkfield and just south of Los Angeles: this is the red hot danger sector. If you bookmark this web page, it lets you know what parts are the most active at this time. A good site to keep on the computer if living in California.


Click here for maps showing intensity of the 1857 quake along this section of the Sand Andreas that has not had any major quakes since then. This is possibly the most dangerous section of the San Andreas for it has not moved much since then and it is well over 150 years. The most serious mountain ranges on the coastal side of the Central Valley and Death Valley are along this fault line.

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I took the official 'scenario' maps and linked them to the bigger map of California. If you click on the picture, it will enlarge and be much easier to read.

Below is an enlargement of the official government scenario maps for the sector of the San Andreas that is the least active this last 100+ years.

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The nature of this beast is, if it is a 7 mag earthquake, it will be bad. If it is a 9 mag and that is quite possible, then it can cause landslides on the Los Angeles/Pasadena side of the mountains that rear up right over the Los Angeles basin. And if it is big enough, it can trigger other fault lines which can have secondary earthquakes at 7-8 mag levels. Like we saw very clearly in Sumatra with the Great Boxing Day Quake.

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This map is from the USGS. I amended it to show the general location of the many water systems that carry water from the east to the biggest cities in California. All of these systems cross the San Andreas. If even half of them are severed, this will be a huge problem for LA. If LA takes damage in a major, 9 mag event along the eastern edge of the mountains, this can translate into a huge tragedy. This is why people in this sector should store a good supply of water in plastic containers that are stored on the ground. For example, I have a 250 gallon plastic storage tank with both a battery pump and a hand pump. But just gallon containers will be good. No one will want to drink from a toilet. But this is part of being in a major city that depends nearly 100% on water brought across some of the most active and dangerous fault lines on earth.

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