Elaine Meinel Supkis
Pure, utter madness has gripped our nation. As we await our official Funny Money™ government handouts, Bush says, 'This will pay for gasoline!' You bet! The US is trying hard to start WWIII and if anyone thinks global nuclear war=cheap gasoline, they are nuts. But then, our nation hopes to fight its weary way to easy times, easy money. At least the goofy Japanese carry trade has restarted. So we have infinite money for our infinite wars. So begins a very bitter weekend. It's all 'Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran.'
U.S. Weighing Readiness for Military Action Against Iran
The nation's top military officer said yesterday that the Pentagon is planning for "potential military courses of action" as one of several options against Iran, criticizing what he called the Tehran government's "increasingly lethal and malign influence" in Iraq.Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said a conflict with Iran would be "extremely stressing" but not impossible for U.S. forces, pointing to reserve capabilities in the Navy and Air Force.
"It would be a mistake to think that we are out of combat capability," he said at a Pentagon news conference. Speaking of Iran's intentions, Mullen said: "They prefer to see a weak Iraq neighbor. . . . They have expressed long-term goals to be the regional power."
Mullen made clear that he prefers a diplomatic solution and does not expect imminent action. "I have no expectations that we're going to get into a conflict with Iran in the immediate future," he said.
Mullen's statements and others by Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates recently signal new rhetorical pressure on Iran by the Bush administration amid what officials say is increased Iranian provision of weapons, training and financing to Iraqi groups that are attacking and killing Americans.
In a speech Monday, Gates said Iran "is hell-bent on acquiring nuclear weapons." He said war would be "disastrous" but added that "the military option must be kept on the table, given the destabilizing policies of the regime and the risks inherent in a future Iranian nuclear threat."
All signs are pointing to a massive war with Iran. The US is losing 3-5 troops a day in the Iraq lottery. The troops we have can't escape by doing service and then coming home. There is no home in Homeland USA. They will cycle through the hell we created in Iraq until mad, dead or they commit suicide. This cruel, evil fate is ignored by all our candidates for Dictator. The US people are unaware of this because our media is all edgy about the wrong things. Did Obama ask for a glass of orange juice? He is an elitist? And how much did Edward's haircut cost? He is an elitist. And Ron Paul, who got more money from military in Iraq than all the other people running for Dictator? Well, they don't know who he is. He is the Forgotten Man.
The US ran into Iraq screaming that we were going to destroy the Baathist party. This party is for Sunnis only. Everyone with half a brain knew that this would unleash the huge legions of fanatical Shi'ites who would, of course, cleave to Iran. This is totally natural. The US and England as well as Germany and France are huge, huge believers in splitting up countries along ethnic and religious fissures. WWI and WWII were all about 'Spit apart the Ottoman Empire and other empires along ethnic lines while our empires get bigger and bigger.' The recent attempt at splitting apart China comes to mind. The US loves this and hopes to continue to support ethnic uprisings in distant lands we wish to dominate.
But THIS split weakens the US and Europe! It makes Israel, the outpost for the EU and US, weaker. This is a historic mistake: we thought the Shi'as would love us for killing off the Sunni rulers. But the idea that the Shi'as would love Shi'as didn't enter into our calculations.
So here we are: Iran is winning the war against the Baath Party, their old enemies and we helped Iran. There is no way out of this. The Shi'as will not embrace the US domination of their people in the long run. They used us! DUH! What do we expect? They were smarter than us. The US demanded that Maliki attack Sadr and kill him. We have repeatedly demanded this. Reluctantly, he tries to appease us but each time the Iraqi people refuse to cooperate. The US has tried every trick in the book and this only makes Sadr stronger and more powerful. The battles raging after Iran brokered a cease fire are due entirely to the US demanding a battle. We were thoroughly enraged that Maliki went to the Iranians for this cease fire.
When Iraqi troops were sent to fight Sadr, they failed utterly. Many famously saluted him and pledged their lives to Sadr! Instead of backing out and going home, the US is now promoting the Baath Party yet again just like we supported Saddam. All the kings and sheikhs in Arabia are supporting this new action. They desperately need a new Saddam to rule Iraq and keep the Shi'as from revolting across the entire Arab world. But this won't work. Whoever replaces Saddam will try to rule all the other Sunnis. So everyone is trapped in an arena the size of a closet with the infamous Bull in the Maze who has the Horns of Dilemma!
Al-Sadr may restart full-scale fight against US in Iraq
Muqtada al-Sadr is considering setting aside his political ambitions and restarting a full-scale fight against U.S.-led forces — a worrisome shift that may reflect Iranian influence on the young cleric and could open the way for a shadow state protected by his powerful Mahdi Army.A possible breakaway path — described to The Associated Press by Shiite lawmakers and politicians — would represent the ultimate backlash to the Iraqi government's pressure on al-Sadr to renounce and disband his Shiite militia.
By snubbing the give-and-take of politics, al-Sadr would have a freer hand to carve out a kind of parallel state with its own militia and social services along the lines of Hezbollah in Lebanon, a Shiite group founded with Iran's help in the 1980s.
It also would carry potentially disastrous security implications as the Pentagon trims its troops strength and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki finally shows progress on national reconciliation.
How can there be 'national reconciliation' when one's country is occupied by hostile, greedy foreign troops? Of course not. Any more than the Germans could control Russia during WWII. They tried! They tried very hard. And brutally. But since their intention was to destroy Russia and its people, it failed. And we are failing since our goal is to weaken or destroy the power and wealth of everyone in Iraq! We need them to be weak and helpless. They obviously are not. The parties who can fight hard will rule the place once the US leaves. And leave, we must. Even though virtually no articles about this horrible war ever mention money, the end will be due to bankruptcy of the entire US.
Our Achilles' heel is obvious: oil. We need oil. We need it now. We need lots of it. We want it cheap. But the threats to start WWIII is making oil expensive. As Iran Kitty makes obvious, the more we hassle the cat, the more we bleed from scratches. These latest wild threats are particularly stupid. The dollar is dying except against the yen. The US economy is falling off a cliff. The government is oozing red ink out of every pore and this is getting worse and worse by the minute. The US is on the ropes. Note how above, the Pentagon, one of the most badly run military operations on earth, says we can have an air war. The US is in no shape for such a war. If the Iranians sink just three ships and down a dozen planes, we are finished as a world power for we can't replace them easily. The only way is to go forth and beg China for money to lend. Or to produce prodigious inflation at home by making more Funny Money™.
This pathetic situation isn't appreciated by the warmongers in DC. They really think that a flood of Funny Money™ will pour out of the Treasury forever. They can't imagine their stupid wars might bankrupt our empire. But ALL empires die this way. If we annihilate Iran, we won't win anything. We will be in MORE danger. And oil will be MORE expensive, much more expensive. This is if we WIN. If we stalemate or even lose, then our empire ends with a belly flop. Our ability to project power is in steep decline already. This will be the coup de grace. The US could pull away from all this. But this would mean the Shi'as will enjoy a well-earned victory. And we cannot stand this. Even if this means we can resume screaming at China about killing a handful of violent rioters, the fact that we nuked millions of civilians won't go over very well in the real world.
Oil Rises More Than $2 on U.K. Pipeline, Nigeria's Output Drop
Crude oil rose more than $2 a barrel and gasoline climbed to a record on BP Plc's plans to shut down a North Sea pipeline, plunging Nigerian output and after a ship carrying U.S. cargo fired warning shots at Iranian boats.BP said it would shut the Forties Pipeline System tomorrow because of a two-day strike at a refinery in Scotland. Nigeria has lost about half of its oil production amid a strike and rebel attacks, Petroleum Minister of State H. Odein Ajumogobia said today in an interview with Bloomberg News.
``The near-term target is $120,'' said Katherine Spector, head energy strategist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York. ``Even without the headlines, prices would have risen.''
Katherine makes money betting on higher fuel prices. Being a pirate lass, she obviously is very happy that she can speculate about wars and get rich. All of these guys are perfectly happy to see the price of oil shoot to the moon. This goes into their pockets! So will America's richest banks stop these wars or encourage them?
It is painfully obvious: hey! War may be hell but war PROFITS are pure heaven! India's gas deal with Iran is back in the news today:
US seeks to smoothen India's ruffled feathers over Iran
Hoping to smoothen India's ruffled feathers over Iran, the US has said it was not in any way "pointing a finger" at New Delhi which has to make its "own choices"."I don't think he (State Department Deputy spokesman Tom Casey) was in any way pointing the finger at India," US Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asia Richard Boucher said here.
New Delhi had reacted sharply to Casey's comments on Monday asking India to tell President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad during his upcoming visit that Iran should meet the requirements of the UN Security Council and suspend uranium enrichment activities. India had said it did not need any guidance from the US on the issue.
Ahmadinejad is scheduled to visit New Delhi on April 29 and will meet President Pratibha Patil and brief Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on the nuclear and other issues.
The US can't split apart China and destroy Russia's borders as well as annihilate Iran if India sides with Russia, China or Iran. So the US has to back off of our hyper-hysteria. India knows it is a fulcrum state and the US has to back down if India demands it. Then, Indians will cheerfully call Americans to demand they pay bad debts. HAHAHA. Isn't revenge sweet, guys? Britain destroyed India and now India gets its own back.
Pakistan Asserts It Is Near a Deal With Militants
The Pakistani government is close to an agreement to end hostilities with the most militant tribes in its turbulent border area, whose main leader is accused of orchestrating most of the suicide bombings of recent months and the assassination of former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto.A 15-point draft of the accord, which was shown to The New York Times, called for an end to militant activity and an exchange of prisoners in return for the gradual withdrawal of the Pakistani military from part of the tribal region of South Waziristan.
Bin Laden and his guys win yet another round. The US has made it clear, we will bomb, bomb, bomb anyone we want, want, want. I used to jump rope as a child and this is the sort of chants we would do. Except I updated it. As the Western half of the USA girds itself for the inevitable huge earthquakes, we are busy trying to turn back all the forces of history. We hope to spend our way to prosperity and to get our oil barons and bankers filthy rich via wars in oil soaked deserts. And if anyone imagines this will end with us all rich, rich, rich, I have this bridge to Nowhere to sell! Cheap!


Elaine:
What a stunning post! I feel sick. Could you please put together a column showing a pathway out of this horrible mess? I am starting to lose hope in the viability of humankind.
Posted by: Jim Smith | April 26, 2008 at 05:16 AM
I cannot see pro western Arab regimes surviving a nuclear attack on Iranian civilian population. Tribal rivalries have been useful for Western powers, but nuclear war is an abomination too far. And yet, it's the only way the US can defeat Iran.
Posted by: B.A. | April 26, 2008 at 05:58 AM
Germany tried to conquer the world twice. Once they gave up all this silliness, they rose rapidly to become the world's #1 export profit country in the world. Japan became #2. The US, which decided to conquer the world after WWII, has fallen all the way to #100 in this vital area. There is a connection!
The US refuses to put down the sword and pick up the plowshare. I can't see any way to stop this. We really do think we can rule the earth using military force. Like all empires, this is beyond stupid. It is fatal.
Until the US gives this up, there will be no change. Antiwar sentiment is so weak here, the last standing candidates all have openly said they are very willing and indeed, anxious to start WWIII.
And many millions of Americans are praying for WWIII to come and then Jesus will kill all Jews, Muslims and Hindus, etc. And then these goofy imperialist Christians will rule the earth with him. Isn't that stupid?
I can't stop them. They pray for this, they work tirelessly to insure this happens. And our politicians pander to them. And the Jews want to rule the Holy Land so they push this Apocalypse, too. Very hard. It is the nuttiest thing to come along in 6,000 years.
Posted by: Elaine Meinel Supkis | April 26, 2008 at 08:26 AM
Elaine:
I think what you are saying is that the lunatic fringe is very large, e.g.: "many millions of Americans" and that they have undue influence. So, do we (hopefully more rational citizens) just accept this? Or try to articulate a more positive way forward. Of course, each to her own, and you ARE doing an amazing job as sentinel!
Posted by: Jim Smith | April 26, 2008 at 10:24 AM
Unfortunately, a number of religions have provisos for Great Changes and many of them involve egging on believers so they destroy a maximum number of fellow humans.
I can't stand this but can't stop it from happening. This is because true believers imagine they can 'win' something nice. Lord knows! They feel that it is worthwhile to unleash the worst possible forces in order to save their souls.
This belief system is very deeply buried in our psyches. Freud called this the Death Wish.
Posted by: Elaine Meinel Supkis | April 26, 2008 at 11:40 AM
Thought u might want to note that the F15 planes meant to protect the home land were grounded due to metal fatigue. This means they were used too often (wear and tear effects).
Bet u 10-1 the same effects is happening to all the planes and copters in ME. With the USD going down in flames, no way can all these planes be replaced. As US military depends solely in air power for power projection, it will become the Achilles heel.
This venture is set to fail - big time. All the indicators are flashing red!! Once it blows, US global influence will deflate very rapidly like USSR.
Posted by: OC | April 26, 2008 at 09:03 PM
Excellent post today Elaine. You always bring up that which isn't obvious.
However, another opinion, from a respected source on the subject you've written about has just been posted on 321 Energy.com. It is written by Clive Maund, an Englishman who lives in Chile with a lot of experience in the money and commodities game. He is saying John McCain is right; we will never leave Iraq unless we are 'run out'. I sent Elaine a link and would like to hear her comments regarding it in the next few days here on her site. All readers of Elaine's work would be well served to hear what Maund is saying. Fair warning....it isn't pretty nor popular. In a way he is as 'hard assed' on our politicians as Elaine.
Posted by: Hardrock | April 27, 2008 at 02:19 AM
Yes, I read his article. Gads. Talk about poorly done. This is because he is an Englishman and therefore, has little idea about how empires rot and die at their peak. They don't crash after rotting a long time, the crash is very sudden, when they seem the strongest.
Spain: the Great Armada sailed and then Spain went bankrupt virtually the next year. Thereafter, Spain clung to much of its empire but the HOME BASE was invaded repeatedly and the HOME POPULATION fell into deep poverty. Spain became weaker and weaker and only to avoid world wars did the other powers leave it alone.
England was totally destroyed as an empire after 1917. They were bankrupt. They expanded this empire and clung on to their captive provinces. But when other empires challenged this power, England's control collapsed so rapidly, the Germans and Japanese struggled to keep up with the speed of this utter and nearly complete collapse.
The Empire became a client state of the US and today has one of the world's biggest national debts! It is nearly the same size as the US and per capita, is much, much greater.
Posted by: Elaine Meinel Supkis | April 27, 2008 at 08:28 AM